Testing Gordon's nerve

Our public affairs contributing writers dusted down their crystal balls to predict the date that Gordon Brown will choose to face down David Cameron.

No surprises that they all thought the Prime Minister would go up to the wire but there was some variation in the dates picked…

Brad Staples, CEO, Europe, Middle East and Africa, APCO – May 2010

Simon Nayyar, managing director, Citigate Dewe Rogerson Public Policy – 6 May 2010

Geoff Beattie, head of global practices, Cohn & Wolfe – May 27, 2010. ‘The election is very likely to be held at the very end of this parliament, as it was in 1979 and 1997. The last possible date is June 3, so my guess is it will take place a week before that. It’s very hard to see a moment in the next fifteen months that will be more favourable.’

Tanya Joseph, managing director of UK public affairs, Grayling – May 2010

Helen Johnson, founder, Helen Johnson Consulting – 11 March 2010

Richard Patient, managing director, Indigo Public Affairs – 6 May 2010

Andrew Silverman, partner, Kreab Gavin Anderson – 27 May 2010
‘On this day in 1955 Sir Anthony Eden achieved a 60-seat overall majority in the General Election. The votes are currently out on whether David Cameron’s Conservative Party can match this performance. Whatever the outcome David Cameron will not want to share the economic and foreign policy difficulties that marked Sir Anthony’s troubled premiership.

Fergus Wylie, managing partner, Europe, Kreab Gavin Anderson – 8 April 2010.
‘On this day in 1986 Clint Eastwood was voted Mayor by a landslide vote in the Californian town of Carmel. David Cameron may ask Gordon Brown to “make my day” if the election is held on 8th April, but the question remains as to who will triumph.’

Jonny Popper, co-founder and director, London Communications Agency – We think Gordon Brown will go all the way, move the local elections from early May and hold both the local and general elections on 10 June 2010.

Graham McMillan, chief executive, Open Road – May 2010

Henry Goodwin, partner, TLG – June 2010

Jon McLeod, chairman of UK corporate and public affairs, Weber Shandwick – 3 June 2010

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