Zenith predicts solid growth for ad industry

MediaWeek, Media Week, Friday, 08 October 2004, 3:30pm,

Global advertising is expected to grow by a healthy 4.8% in 2005, despite the leap in ad spend in 2004 due to the US presidential elections, Athens Olympics and Euro 2004.

Forecasts for growth in European advertising are also set to overtake their transatlantic counterparts in 2005, with a 4.4% increase on 2004 compared to 4.2% in the US.

The report – produced by media agency ZenithOptimedia – also revealed projected ad spend figures for 2006.

Despite an increase from 2006 to 2005 of 11.2% the figure is expected to indicate a slowing down of the boom years for the Africa, Middle East and Rest of the World sector from 22.5% in 2002.

During the same period in Europe and North America, growth is expected to be at the 5% level, with Asia-Pacific (5.5%) and Latin America (6.7%) performing marginally better.

Global share of advertising, in terms of sectors, is forecast to show a slight dip for press over the next two years to 29.6% and 13.4% for newspapers and magazines respectively.

Television ad spend is expected to remain steady at 37.7% in 2006, while radio will have decreased to 8.7% in the same period.

Outdoor will fall by just 0.1% to 5.2% over the next two years, with cinema advertising forecasted to remain at 0.4% during the same period.

The clear winner is expected to be internet advertising, which has seen an increase to a 3.5% overall share since 2002 and is forecasted to add another 0.5% to its share by 2006.

This article was first published on Media Week

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