Trump voters have delivered a stunning body blow to the political establishment

In the first iteration of this analysis, I spoke in an exhausted voice on the length of this campaign, the divisive nature of the rhetoric and the overwhelming sense of relief that the long, strange cartoon was finally over.

Donald Trump, US President-elect, takes to the stage for a victory speech this morning (pic credit: AP Photo/John Locher)
Donald Trump, US President-elect, takes to the stage for a victory speech this morning (pic credit: AP Photo/John Locher)
There was an implicit assumption of the result. Now, as the election is called for Donald Trump, and he creeps past 270 electoral college votes, "relief" seems very, very distant. And memories of 23 June seem very very present. "Brexit + + +", indeed.

So, as the world braces for a Trump Presidency, here are a few immediate observations.

First, and once again, the white working class has delivered a stunning body blow to the political establishment. 

Trump's improbable victory is on the back of an anger and a sense of being ignored that tens of millions people obviously felt. 

The result highlights deep class divisions in the United States. Feelings which, once again, pollsters missed or underestimated to a dramatic degree. 

As during the EU referendum, the depth of people's disillusionment and frustration - and the likelihood of their voting accordingly - was missed by the data and research guys. 

Last night was another credibility shock to the world of big data in politics.

And, for those traditional tools in the political campaigning tool box. Mrs Clinton spent hundreds of millions of dollars on paid media - dozens of tv ads - and her opponent didn’t.

Donald Trump's victory was a victory for Twitter. 

Time and time again Trump ignored conventional campaign wisdom and spoke directly to the media and the public - tweeting, calling in to be interviewed on broadcast news or radio, hosting massive rallies.

And while Barack Obama gets the credit for bringing social media to the fore in Presidential politics, Donald Trump understood that his reality TV credentials and celebrity status were the perfect cultural counterpoint at this moment to the ultimate insider he was competing with. 

He, naturally, projected a loud, opinionated, almost villainous persona. 

He knew that - as if he was back on The Apprentice - the public loves a diva, they don't mind some mean-spiritedness, they love a little cat-fighting. 

And he understood - as Boris did during the referendum - that voters generally do love a character, a personality, someone they can embrace. He knew he was competing with someone generic, a bit boring, someone without colour. 

He behaved accordingly.

How will he behave now? How will he govern? How will he lead? 

It’s hard to say. 

As the first person ever elected to this office with absolutely no experience of public service it's impossible to predict. 

But one should expect him to face some of the same challenges that Mrs May and her new Government are facing here with Brexit and more.

"The people" - or some of them anyway - are impatient. They voted for change. They are ready for it. They will not wait quietly. 

They stand now, poised by the Citadel, pitchforks in hand, waiting to march behind a new leader in a new direction. 

With no hesitation, I would suggest, that they will storm again if that leadership doesn't materialise.
Pretty quickly, Donald Trump will discover that the delivery of promises is much harder than the making of them. And that "this governing thing" isn't so easy after all.
God help us all, as they say.

A final thought. 

The results confirm Hillary Clinton's status as one of the great Shakespearan figures in modern politics. 
She was always a flawed candidate. But an election that should have been hers, easily, slipped from her grasp, lost in a miasma of emails and other scandals. 

The failure to understand the real narrative of the moment is hard to believe. The scale of her disappointment this morning is unimaginable.

Nick DeLuca has worked on presidential campaigns for Senators Edward M Kennedy, John Kerry and Barack Obama

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